GREY:ARGEF - Post by User
Post by
MJLion Feb 15, 2011 3:53am
483 Views
Post# 18133891
Value RGX
Value RGXLS,
I did a (very) quick and dirty valuation of RGX. I did not take into account the exercise prices of the options because in this scenario I assume Michael will take RGX to the moon which would result in a much higher share price. In this scenario, exercise prices in the range of 0.25-0.40 are then considered noise. I also assumed no further dilution (not very likely) and did not consider exp. dates of the options.
For the Gross Metal Value (GMV), as stated in the latest presentation, I assumed the range of 18.8-41.5 bln. I assumed a Enterprise Value (EV) of 10-20% of the GMV in place (I did not consider cash or debt). This is a conservative approach/estimation. Please be aware, this is a very high level and therefore indicative valuation!
Regards,
M
Argex Mining - RGX.v | | | |
| | | |
Shares | | 56.99 | mln |
Options | | 2.4175 | (est. ex. price 0.26) |
Options | | 5.2675 | (est. ex. price 0.26) |
Warrants | | 24.966 | (est. ex. price 0.40) |
Warrants | | 5.9006 | (est. ex. price 0.375) |
Total | | 95.5439 | |
| | | |
Share price (CAD) | | 0.76 | (as of 14 feb 2011) |
Mcap | | 72.61 | (as of 14 feb 2011) |
| | | |
| | | |
Gross Metal Value | Min | 18,800 | (mln CAD) |
| Max | 41,500 | (mln CAD) |
| | | |
10% GMV | Min | 1,880 | (mln CAD) |
| Max | 4,150 | (mln CAD) |
| | | |
20% GMV | Min | 3,760 | (mln CAD) |
| Max | 8,300 | (mln CAD) |
| | | |
Share price (to-the-moon-scenario) | |
| | | |
10% GMV | Min | 19.68 | (share price) |
| Max | 43.44 | (share price) |
| | | |
20% GMV | Min | 39.35 | (share price) |
| Max | 86.87 | (share price) |
| | | |