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Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF V.PCY


Primary Symbol: PCY

The investment seeks to track the investment results (before fees and expenses) of the DBIQ Emerging Market USD Liquid Balanced Index (the underlying index). The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its total assets in U.S. dollar-denominated government bonds from emerging market countries that comprise the underlying index. The underlying index measures potential returns of a theoretical portfolio of liquid emerging market U.S. dollar-denominated government bonds.


ARCA:PCY - Post by User

Comment by Bottleson Apr 24, 2011 8:41pm
223 Views
Post# 18480607

RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: Financing

RE: RE: RE: RE: RE: Financing"I took a large position in PCY on the basis of the NR in January..."

An MOU stands for "memorandum of understanding". Assuming you already know what it stands for, I'm guessing that the basis of your investment was comments made about news like a completed agreement in within 30 days. All I can say here is that sometimes we win and sometimes we loose.  Per the German Video Conference and or the  Conference Call prior, John Lee indicated that JUST was placed on the "back burner" in preference of selling coal to the Asian markets where a much higher price can be had. In review of the MOU, I for one do not like the price of $35 ton. In addition, I also did not like JUST being the sole supplier of diesel at prevailing market rates. Given that gas prices will be a major component of the overall costs of production, it seems to me that we can do better. Being that we are properly financed at present, Lee and Company obviously believe it in out best interests to hold out and pursue a much better deal. Time will tell but I doubt $10 million+ spent on equipment will be for not.

In regards to potential future dilution:

Ulaan Ovoo is properly financed and then some per the most recent PP. Hence, no dilution on that front. In regards to Chandgana, it is way too premature to even consider financing options at this time because right now, Chandgana technically does not exist. UNLESS there are plans to build a power plant, Chandgaga will just sit there with all that coal and incur the minimal carrying costs. In fact, John Lee stated that he does not even plan to undertake additional drilling at Chandgana because doing so, absent plans to build a power plant, would be a waste of money.

These things said, the greatest risk of additional (and or future) dilution can be found with the metal assets. Here, there is no near term production prospects and high costs to drill and drill to prove up the same. But wait! John Lee plans to spin off the metal assets so that they do not prove to be a drain of cash on hand and or dilute shareholders in any private placements to fund drilling of the same. Instead, any dilution to finance the metal assets will be under a separate company and NOT Prophecy Coal.

If a power plant happens at Chandgana, then that is the time to assess potential dilution to finance the same. With the exception of acknowledging that additional dilution is a possibility to finance a power plant at Chandgana, there is nothing else to quantify.



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