Deal NPVThe deal has $50m now, plus 22.5% of silver production. Using the following assumptions: current silver price of $36/oz for all years; production over 16 years (as stated in press release); no production above 190m oz; 5% discount rate
If the project is fast-tracked and production starts 5 years from now (likely unrealistic), the NPV is $908m
Starts 6 years from now: NPV=$867m
7 years = $827m
8 years = $791m
9 years = $756m
10 years = $722m
Compare that to yesterday's market cap of $880m and cash of $170m (giving the projects a value of $710m) and that gives very little value for Back River.
R.