TSXV:GLG.H - Post by User
Comment by
bendergardenon Jun 04, 2011 7:53am
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Post# 18671114
RE: RE: RE: RE: A word of caution...
RE: RE: RE: RE: A word of caution...Actually, from a valuation standpoint, Sinoforest was much cheaper than our timber listings before the current issue.
But the Sinoforest drama isn't a standalone event, it's the lastest in a now quite lengthy pattern of blowups. Baby, bathwater or both, it's all going out.
My point is that I don't think the China situation has bottomed yet. Now might be a decent time to start thinking about GLG, but it may also get a lot cheaper. If I start buying, I will probably break the buys up, with a slant to lower targets, to avoid a falling knife.
As for penalties for fraud in China, most of the companies either aren't listed in China, or have dual listings. They run as legit, albeit much smaller or different businesses in China, with proper accounting. That is the key point: they run legit in China. The fraud occurs when they report false or exagerated numbers to western exchanges. It is not a crime in China to scam western investors on western exchanges. That is outside the scope of Chinese laws or concerns. That is why your small summary of Chinese fraud laws is actually quite irrelevant.
If Sino Forest can actually manage to defend themselves, that would greatly help. If they lose, it will be a huge takedown, and all eyes will be on the next target of either Citron or Muddy Waters. There will be many, and the situation will keep spiralling down.
Obviously it would save a lot of grief in the short term if SinoForest can fend them off. anq2n