OTCPK:MAUXF - Post by User
Post by
oullinson Jun 08, 2011 11:43am
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Post# 18687024
Mart vs Addax Valuation
Mart vs Addax ValuationInteresting valuation for Addax.
Ruffly, Addax is 10 times bigger than the total UMU field both in reserves and production. This means that the UMU field is valued at around C$800M. (Mart + Sun Trust)
At today's share price for Mart the field is valued at $C428M (C$.63 * 340M * 2)
So Mart's fair valuation per share at the takeover value of Addax is $1.20 a share.
Early 2012 we will be at twice the production and maybe twice the reserves (UMU7 + 8 + second structure for 9)
I let you calculate the value at that time. Hint multiply by 2.
One more calculation.
Addax went for a 47% premium. So, if you undervalue Mart at the same ratio than Addax was the "undervalued value" of Mart should be 80c a share.
If you are not too confused I let you draw your own conclusions.
IMO Mart is not an acquisition target unless Sun Trust is willing to sale their share in a package deal. I do not have a clue about Sun Trust's intentions.
Anyway, I think this is a good reality check