Q2 RevenueIn the July update, we should get the production numbers for Q2 and the average price realized. I ran some numbers based on the avg price of Brent in Apr, May, and (what I think will be June) as well as taking at stab at production increases that should have occurred over the quarter.
Low side estaimte of production ending the quarter is 14500 bpd. That would only be an add of 1000 bpd during the quarter, which would make it tough for them to hit the 20K per day by YE. If they are on track to meet 20k bpd by YE - they should exit at 15500. The range of revenue for those numbers is between $97 M and $101 M. Compare that to the $72 M for Q1 and thats a hefty increase. That would equate to a Netback of >$50M in the quarter.
So its easy to see why this is tanking.