GREY:SXRZF - Post by User
Comment by
LouEon Jul 13, 2011 7:23pm
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Post# 18828720
RE: RE: RE: Excelerating poplation growth
RE: RE: RE: Excelerating poplation growthwe may never see 10 bilion. growth rate has allready peaked, and soon the peak world population will fall. Best estimates are that the world hits 9 point something billion, then rapidly shriks. There are many articles. google world peak poppulation.
https://www.aei.org/issue/16549
https://www2.macleans.ca/2011/06/15/a-world-of-10-billion/
Yet speak to experts whose careers revolve around the population equation, and you’ll also hear notes of surprising optimism—in part because population growth is moderating toward a more manageable pace. With fertility levels slipping in many parts of the world, it will take an estimated 14 years, from 2011 to 2025, for the world to add its eight-billionth person, and another 18 years to add its ninth. Adding number 10 billion won’t happen until 2083, a full 40 years after the nine billionth is born. These forecasts are based on the UN Population Division’s “medium-variant” scenarios, which are considered the most likely to come to pass. The bureau’s highest possible projection puts the world population at an appalling 15.8 billion in 2100, but its lowest would have us at 6.2 billion. That latter figure bears repeating: the human race might actually shrink.