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Star Diamond Corp T.DIAM

Alternate Symbol(s):  SHGDF

Star Diamond Corporation is a Canada-based company engaged in the acquisition, exploration and development of mineral properties. Its primary asset is its 100% interest in the Fort a la Corne property, which is located in central Saskatchewan. Its Fort a La Corne Diamond Project includes Star and Orion South Kimberlites. These kimberlites are in close proximity to established infrastructure, including paved highways and the electrical power grid. The Star-Orion South Diamond Project is located within the Fort a la Corne diamond district of central Saskatchewan, Canada. These Fort a la Corne mineral dispositions are located in the Fort a la Corne Provincial Forest, approximately 60 kilometers (km) east of Prince Albert, Saskatchewan. It also holds a 100% interest in the Buffalo Hills Diamond Project, located approximately 400 kilometers northwest of Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. The property covers a total of 21 mineral leases covering an area of approximately 4,800 hectares (ha).


TSX:DIAM - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by radioguyon Sep 30, 2011 11:39am
798 Views
Post# 19104034

Mackie Article

Mackie Article
Here's the text from Sept 29, 2011

It Is Feasible – A Sk. Diamond Mine

EVENT – Release of Detailed Feasibility Study

We had the opportunity to review with management the details of a feasibility study

which was recently released. Summary details of the study were provided back in

mid-July, but until the full feasibility study was made available, only broad

categorizations were possible about overall economic viability. However, it is clear

there is a large and robust diamond mine in Saskatchewan, and that there is deep

underlying value in Shore Gold’s share price.

IMPACT – There is a Very Robust Diamond Mine Here

The diamond mine is big project, which is likely larger than initially thought:

The feasibility concluded there is a reserve of 279 million tonnes containing 34.4 million

carats with an average value of $242 per carat. Over a 20-year mine life, the mine

will have the capacity to produce 1.7 million carats of diamonds per year. This will

be a very large mine, mining and processing 16.2 million tonnes of ore per year

(45,000 tpd). Excluded from this reserve number is 80 million tonnes of potential ore

classified as waste (due to a lack of drilling), and 10 million tonnes that falls below

the bottom of the current pit outline. In other words, the mine is even bigger than

the feasibility study suggests.

Robust economic viability even at discounted diamond prices:

After total

operating costs of $14/t, a base case scenario using February 2011 diamond prices

(current prices are 35% higher), after-taxes and royalties, estimates the project has an

NPV of $985 million at an 8% dcf (using a 3.5% price escalation factor). However,

since the original feasibility was done, rough diamond prices are some 35% higher,

meaning the potential economic viability of the project is better. We note the

feasibility study incorporates a 3.5% per year escalation factor on diamond prices,

which while supported by diamond specialists directly involved with marketing of

rough diamonds; we have a hard time with this concept over a 20-year mine life. We

know diamond markets are particularly robust, so in our bottom-line assessment we

increased the base diamond price by an additional 15% ($278 per carat) and use a 1%

escalation factor. We still derive an underlying value of $2.34/sh. We know there

are a number of optimizing scenarios which make project economics even better.

ACTION – ‘Deep’ Value. BUY

We continue to believe in our $2/sh target price, and think we are likely light in our

overall assessment given additional resources and opportunities to enhance

operating efficiency. There is deep value in the name. SGF’s major challenge is

attracting a moneyed-up partner for the $1.9 billion capital cost.

FYE Dec 31 Q1/10A Q2/10A Q3/10A Q4/10A 2010A Q1/11A Q2/11E Q3/11E Q4/11E 2011E 2012E

Production Carats n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Cash Costs US$/carat n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Earnings & Cash Flow Q1/10A Q2/10A Q3/10A Q4/10A 2010A Q1/11A Q2/11E Q3/11E Q4/11E 2011E 2012E

EPS $/share n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

P/EPS multiple n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

CFPS $/share n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

P/CFPS multiple n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a n/a

Barry Allan 416.860.7612, ballan@mackieresearch.com

Ryan Hanley, Associate 416.860.8337, rhanley@mackieresearch.com

This report has been created by Analysts that are employed by Mackie Research Capital Corporation, a Canadian Investment Dealer. For further disclosures, please see last page of this report.

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