GREY:AXXDF - Post by User
Comment by
Speedmasteron Jan 15, 2012 12:33pm
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Post# 19405351
RE: RE: TD target on ADV
RE: RE: TD target on ADV That is a 12 month target.
Alderon Iron Ore Corp.
(ADV-T; Speculative BUY; 12-month target: $5.00; 64% Upside to
Target)
• The Kami project in the Labrador Trough of Newfoundland and Labrador (NL),
close to established infrastructure at Wabush, NL.
• The company has a large, open-ended resource in three zones that currently
amounts to about 1.1 billion tonnes grading about 30% Fe.
• The project is being advanced to production following a positive PEA; a FS is
scheduled for completion in Q3/12. We have modelled a 2015 start-up.
• Our model is PEA-based, but assumes a wholly-owned operation that exploits
just 500.0 mmt of ore to produce 8.0 mmtpa of 65.5% Fe sinter feed
concentrate for 23 years at a LOM opex of $52/t and pre-production capex of
$989 million.
• Our $5.00 target price (rounded) is based on 1.20x our 12%NAVPS estimate of
$4.06.
• Alderon shares are trading at a 25% discount to our 12%NAVPS estimate