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Oromin Explorations Ltd OLEPF



GREY:OLEPF - Post by User

Comment by socalbernieon Jan 17, 2012 3:38pm
320 Views
Post# 19413784

RE: RE: Mackie: Top Picks 2012 - Buys & Sells

RE: RE: Mackie: Top Picks 2012 - Buys & Sells

Sorry but I have not been able to find a copy of either of the last 2 McClintock reports: Top Picks 2012 - Buys & Sells & And Now it's Official!

.

I do have a copy of the previous report dated May 16, 2011. Here McClintock wrote:

.

Good Resource Growth – More to Come

EVENT – Release of an Updated Resource for OJVG

The Oromin Joint Venture Group (43.5% Oromin Exploration - OLE) released an

updated resource for its gold project in Senegal. Along with a prior press release on

May 5, 2011, the total resource so far identified on the property amounts to 3.8 mm

ounces of gold, up from a prior resource estimate of 3.5 mm ounces in September

2010. However, the two resource estimates are not directly comparable since not all

resources in the September estimate were constrained by economic assumptions.

IMPACT – Positive. Higher Quality Resources and Still Open

Resources remain open for material expansion, particularly to depth: Resources are

split into two styles – a high-grade Golouma type and lower-grade, more oxidized

Masato type. Both types are open to depth, but the Golouma resources are much

higher grade. Intercepts of deep Golouma mineralization drilled below the resource

have assayed 81.8 g/t over 6 metres and 421.4 g/t over three metres – two

spectacular intercepts. However, the average of the holes drilled (capping high

grades at 32 g/t) is more like 16.0 g/t over 5.6 metres, still good grade over very

mineable widths. We judge there is a high probability that substantial, higher grade

resources will be added at depth. To reflect this potential, we upgraded the value for

exploration potential to 5.5 mm ounces from 4.5 mm ounces, causing the NAV of

OLE to increase to $3.07 from $2.89 previously.

Enhanced economic potential of resources: The press release also included results

of optimizing the 2010 Feasibility study and included the results of a Preliminary

Economic Assessment of “heap-leach” material. At $1,200 gold price and a 3% DCF,

project economics were enhanced by $100 million to $461 million, a 27% increase in

value. The addition of a heap-leach operation in our financial model increased the

NAVPS of OLE by .21, bring the NAVPS to $3.28.

Better quality resource estimate: All resources in the current estimate of 3.8 mm

ounces have been constrained by economic assumptions, and the resource

incorporates data from ~128 additional drill holes – meaning the “quality” in

confidence in resource is much better.

ACTION – We See Value. Remain a BUY, with a Higher Target

Due to higher underlying value, we are raising our target price to $3.25 from $2.89

per share.

This report was mainly based on results from 2010. So if McClintock has changed his target, likely it is much higher. In the May report he gives credit for 5 million ounces rather than the the 3.8 million ounce 43-101 resource. I believe the reality is 9 million ounces plus and growing. He uses a very conservative multiplier of 1.0 times Net Asset Value Per Share to calculate his target price.

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