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High River Gold Mines Ltd HRIVF



GREY:HRIVF - Post by User

Post by WolfgangEon Feb 15, 2012 9:33am
454 Views
Post# 19536259

NORD keeps going down HRG Up, Why?

NORD keeps going down HRG Up, Why?

I keep tracking Nordgold (NORD) on the London Stock Exchange (LSE).  It started at 7.80 US $ back on Jan 21 (I think) and is now only 6.75 for a loss of 13.5% so far.  So what is Mordy gong to do about it?  Meanwhile HRG has been gong up from about 1.22 to 1.36 for a gain of 10%.

I think Mordy will have to do some major marketing here and realistically speaking he cannot do it without also showing (for a  change) HRG ina favourable light since it represents close to 50% of NORD.

At present HRG witha  cap of 1.14 B (840 M shares)  had  a net profit of around 160 M $ in 2011 by producing 374 Koz of gold equivalent.

NORD on the other hand with a cap of 2.47 B $US and 359 M shares outstanding had  a net profit of approx. 210 M $ by producing 750 Koz of gold equivalent.  

Thus depending on how one looks at it the valuation for HRG should be at least 50% og NORD  but likely substantially more due to the superior profitability of HRG.  In addition HRG sits on around 200 M $ in cash and cash equivalent.  So the cap should be somewhere between 50 and 75 % of NORD, say 65%, thus a cap of 1.61, giving it a per share valuation of at least 1.91 and more if the cash held by HRG is factored in.

What do You think?

My 2 cents worth,  Wolf E

 

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