GREY:TBTEF - Post by User
Post by
Diesel44on Feb 26, 2012 12:28pm
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Post# 19587261
Over $100 oil - more wells?
Over $100 oil - more wells? So as Bshort points out oil's around $109. Was just doing a simple average of WTI since beginning of the year, which has been about $101.
TBE's presentation outlines year-end production of 13,900 bpd and
.18/share dividend based on a $90 WTI assumption. At an average of $101/bbl year-to-date they've been making an average of $11/bbl above plan the first couple months of 2012. By my simple math, if half of that goes to increased expenses, royalties, taxes that still leaves about $75k/day extra netback. An average Frog Lake well costs $515k so every week WTI averages $101, I figure they can drill a bonus Frog Lake well. That's 8 bonus wells since the beginning of the year (and more if WTI keeps going up).
An average of 45 bpd / Frog Lake well x 8 bonus wells to date = about 360 bpd bonus production.
Bshort - I think those looking for capital growth on top of dividend will be getting it; sets a good stage for future dividend growth too.