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Bellatrix Exploration Ltd (Canada) BXEFF

Bellatrix Exploration Ltd is a Canada-based oil and gas company, engaged in the exploration, acquisition, development, and production of oil and natural gas reserves in the provinces of Alberta, British Columbia, and Saskatchewan. It primarily focuses on developing its two core resource plays, the Cardium and the Notikewin/Falher intervals in Western Canada. The Notikewin/Falher in Alberta's deep basin boasts abundant, liquids-rich natural gas with compelling economics. The Cardium is a highly e


GREY:BXEFF - Post by User

Comment by canoe2000on Feb 28, 2012 9:35am
426 Views
Post# 19596680

RE: RE: MEL

RE: RE: MEL

Lets see..  MEL  13 mm 2P oil, 19 mm 2p BOEs with takeout at 440 million about.

BXE market cap of 557 million about

Lets use gas at 1/10th the value, not the normal 1/6 value, so MEL has 13 plus 1.9 = abt 15 million boes for a valuation of $29 a boe in the ground as 2P.

BXE has 25 mm bbl of oil and 67 of BOEs NG, so using the same 1/10 valuation that is 25 plus 6.7 = 31.7 total BOEs..

so, multiplying 31.7 mm X $29 = 928 market cap for BXE(takeout comparison).

That is 928/557 = 1.6, ie, BXE is priced at a 60% discount to MELs takeout price.  Thus the price per share could be $8.32 right now.

And as we keep growing and proving up more bbls, it will be higher.

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