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Levon Resources Ltd (New) V.LVN


Primary Symbol: LVNVF

Levon Resources Ltd is a Mexico based company which is engaged in the mining business. The company is involved in silver, zinc, lead, and gold mining but majorly focuses on only silver mining. In terms of revenue, the organization receives more revenue from their Cordero project. The company restricts itself only in Mexico and does not exports.


OTCQX:LVNVF - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by Equalibriumon Mar 12, 2012 5:53pm
423 Views
Post# 19659436

Opinion sent to me today

Opinion sent to me today
Levon raised $40mil at $1.95 and managed to get the warrants exercised in July when the stock was at $1.90 or so--hence the cash. The stock is now at ~
.90 despite the subsequent release of a substantial resource estimate and PEA. The resource is quite low grade, call it 23g/t Ag, 0.06g/t Au, 0.40% Zn, 0.46 Pb. After recovery that's ~19g/t Ag, .028g//t Au, .19% Zn, .34% Pb.
 
I don't think this is high enough to attract a major miner to buy them out (I could obviously be wrong). Regards the CA's, that is what companies do, check out projects so I put no value in the fact that CA's have been signed with major companies.
 
A subsequent PEA on 77% of indicated and 30% of inferred resources shows an after tax IRR of just 15% and 5 year payback on reasonably high metal price assumptions if you trust the PEA numbers. My personal bias is that the lower the grade and margin then less I am likely to believe these studies. In Levon's study, increasing capex 20% drops the IRR to 11.7%. Take note that nearly every capex guestimate over the past 10 years has been too low, particularly so for large bulk mining operations. 
 
The PEA estimates $650 mil capex and LVN has a market cap of $175mil meaning they need to raise at a minimum nearly 4 times their current capex to build this. With at least one to two years to get the Bankable study, permits, water etc. in order then 5 to 6 years payback, LVN is not a company I would put my money into.
Bullboard Posts