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Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF V.PCY


Primary Symbol: PCY

The investment seeks to track the investment results (before fees and expenses) of the DBIQ Emerging Market USD Liquid Balanced Index (the underlying index). The fund generally will invest at least 80% of its total assets in U.S. dollar-denominated government bonds from emerging market countries that comprise the underlying index. The underlying index measures potential returns of a theoretical portfolio of liquid emerging market U.S. dollar-denominated government bonds.


ARCA:PCY - Post by User

Comment by Bottleson Mar 13, 2012 9:52am
389 Views
Post# 19661628

RE: Re: US Wash Trading Rules

RE: Re: US Wash Trading Rules

"Bottles, I wouldn't let the wash trading rules discourage you from a short-term sale and repurchase."

 

I was speaking more so in general terms as opposed to me specificly in regards to a PCY to NKL and back to PCY trade. Another tax consequence being FIFO that might apply to long term holders of stock who have held shares greater than one year.

 

The primary point to be made is that the drill results and PEA on Wellgreen and now activity associated with UMJ will serve to influence the stock price of PCY per shares held in NKL. On the flip side, however, news associated with wining EPC bidders and the PPA will NOT influence NKL. Hence, and although PCY has lagged and many have grown frustrated, PCY presents more in the way of stock price catalysts as opposed to NKL. 

 

Another important point to be made is that PCY, after a long drought of little to no news, is just now entering into a news rich environment. IMO, this news rich environment starts on March 31 when the bidding process concludes where EPC's are concerned. How long afterwards PCY starts to award contracts is a good guess but multiple contracts awarded translates into multiple press releases. IMO, and when investors start to see contracts awarded, the investment community as a whole will start to place greater confidence in the PPlant with or without a PPA. Then there is the PPA.

 

One of the problems with PCY is no steady news stream like drilling activities present where in general, investors like to react, respond and anticipate news. Following the awarding of contracts to build the power plant and the PPA, PCY enters into financing activity. If NKL is to obtain a JV partner, then chances are the shares that PCY holds will be utilized (ie: sold) to accomondate the same (as an example). If debt, then terms and if equity, then terms like a possible ipo onto the Hong Kong exchange. Maybe a spin off of East Energy. The point being a news rich environment that the stock price can react too. Of late, there has been nothing to react too. Then there is Ulaan Ovoo. No matter what transpires there, PCY will no doubt try and try again. If something significant transpires like actual revenues, positive cash flows and maybe even profits - a reaction can be expected in the stock price.

 

To close, and in my post that you responded too, I was more or less thinking out loud and kinda working through the merits of such a trade. As for me personally, I have opted to go long PCY and step in to trade NKL from time to time. 
 

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