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Trelawney Mining and Exploration Inc TWNNF



GREY:TWNNF - Post by User

Comment by Alchemist7on Apr 29, 2012 12:58pm
102 Views
Post# 19849729

RE: RE: Reason for optimism?? I don't see it

RE: RE: Reason for optimism?? I don't see it

I have the nagging feeling that IAMGOLD has been working long and hard for quite some time to aquire TRR.  Remember is was not too long ago that there was , I believe, a target for TRR of $8.00 ?  For both companies directors to approve this deal, there is surely a lot of details that we will never know about.  My guess is that TRR management will draft a strong, convincing argument to get shareholders to approve.  If TRR shareholders DON'T approve and the deal fails,  will IAMGOLD still get that $21M break-fee???   That represents roughly 3-1/2% of the company value.

Suppose another company enters bidding.  Would that company be willing to pay the break-fee and still pay more than the current offer by IAMGOLD?  For shareholders, any new offer from another company would have to be substantial to justify paying $21M  plus getting a much better offer.

No doubt Gold will go higher, and on an outside, extraordinary event, such as a banking collapse, Gold could pop to $2,000.00 per oz.  overnight as Jim Sinclair suggests.  And in that event, any break-fee would be considered peanuts.  But these are still tough economic times and I don't see any company just throwing money around.  I hope I'm wrong, and greater offers will be forthcoming ........ but I have a feeling that the deal is the final chapter.

As Always, Best of Luck

Alchemist7

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