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Granite Oil Corp GXOCF

Granite Oil Corp is a Canada-based oil producer based in Calgary, Alberta with lands and operations located in southern Alberta. The company is engaged in the exploration for and exploitation, development, and production of oil and natural gas. Its Alberta Bakken Properties are located in southern Alberta at the south of Lethbridge.


OTCQX:GXOCF - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Comment by whizkid1on Aug 21, 2012 5:16pm
232 Views
Post# 20243707

RE: RE: Wow! What happened to the SP?

RE: RE: Wow! What happened to the SP?

Just a cuople of comments.

1.  The reserve report only relates to certain areas (bakken), I am NOT sure what the other areas' 2P #'s are.  (partially because i'm feeling very lazy at the moment) We'd have to take Dec. 31 annual report, strip out the reserve information discussed then.  The problem is we don't know @ what # the company discounted their NPV at.  ($70 oil? $80?, knowing sproule it's probably not conservative.  Something to ask the company, but i'd want them to use a $70 oil, i THINK most juniors use that # for discounting)

2.  Its hard to do a quick back of the napkin calc (some #'s thrown around was $400+ million divided by their # of shares o/s, someone said $20 per bbl X 57MBBOE.  Embedded in their NPV calc which is provided  below ($90,704M @ 10% discount) is a lot of information.  So i would think it's the $90,704/67,000 = $1.35 per share @ 2P.  discount say 30% (arbitrary but what the market discounts at and we are
.95 per share of ADDED reserves.

so in essence take $1.35 and add Dec. 31, 2011 annual reserve information divided by # of shares.  then take 30% of that and it's about what we'll trade at.

Maybe i'm wrong, someone correct me please! 

Financing - Don't think they will need to finance, but i've not looked at this company in a while, how many more wells did they say they would drill for the remainder of the year? 

 

 

 

 

The following table summarizes the Net Present Value of the Company's share of reserves effective as at July 31, 2012.

    Before Income Taxes Discounted At
    0% 10% 15%
('000s)   ($) ($) ($)
         
Proved      
  Developed producing 57,309 37,044 32,000
  Undeveloped 31,354 7,306 1,605
Total Proved(1)(2)(3) 88,663 44,350 33,605
Total Probable(1)(2)(3) 166,370 46,355 29,591
Total Proved plus Probable(1)(2)(3) 255,033 90,704 63,196

 

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