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Yellow Media Inc T.YLO



TSX:YLO - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Comment by DoubleIndemnityon Sep 13, 2012 8:26pm
196 Views
Post# 20360508

RE: RE: RE: Fairness Opinions and the Vote

RE: RE: RE: Fairness Opinions and the Vote

So what's the fundamental value of a company that might generate $500m or $600m of annual EBITDA, or perhaps $400-500m, ignoring interest but taking into account taxes?  Well, it's easily in the realm of reasonableness to give them a multiplier in the range of 6-to-10, implying that there could be an enterprise value ranging from $2.4B on the low end to as much as $5B on the high end.  Knock off the $850m of "new debt" and you'd be left with $1,550m to $4,150m for shareholders.  Divide that by 28 million new shares, and what kind of valuation do you get for the new equity?  Easily $30 per share.

 

If Yellow Media had stable revenue, nobody would even think of restructuring it. I can't take seriously any valuation that pretends Yellow Media doesn't have sharply declining revenue.

 

<sensationalism>

Yellow Media top-line revenue numbers

 

  Revenue Source Q/Q Change Annualized Y/Y Change
Q3-2010 355,949 Q3-2011 MD&A      
Q4-2010 345,378 Q4-2011 MD&A -3% -12%  
Q1-2011 349,372 Q2-2012 Financials 1% 5%  
Q2-2011 342,738 Q2-2012 Financials -2% -8%  
Q3-2011 323,441 Q3-2011 MD&A -6% -23% -9%
Q4-2011 313,315 Q4-2011 MD&A -3% -13% -9%
Q1-2012 289,073 Q2-2012 Financials -8% -31% -17%
Q2-2012 286,484 Q2-2012 Financials -1% -4% -16%

</sensationalism>

 

 

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