GREY:AVNDF - Post by User
Comment by
kingofcottonon Oct 18, 2012 6:42pm
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Post# 20500635
RE: asset sales ?
RE: asset sales ? From Q2 report: "Elbow River’s business has been very strong, benefitting from the demand for crude by rail sales volumes such that Elbow River is now forecast to effectively contribute up to 65%-70% of the dividend." 70% X current AVF dividend of $.42 = $.29 annual dividend from Elbow alone. At 8.5% yield, Elbow might be valued at $3.41, but such a high growth company deserves a substantial premium. The huge discount for Alberta oil versus Brent pricing is a big opportunity. At a current 5% yield, Elbow might be valued at $5.80. So oil and NG assets at $3.50 to $4.00, and Elbow at $3.41 to $5.80 gives a range of $6.91 to $9.80 per AVF share. Is this reasonable?