RE: I wouldn't try Natural,
Another date to keep in mind is January 1, 2013 when gold will be treated as a tier 1 assets (i.e. gold becomes equivalent to cash). Someone posted a good summary on this the other day and it is worth remembering. Don Coxe talked about this awhile back and was of the opinion that the new Basel agreement on gold was going to be good for gold price. How could it not -- nothing changes except that in financial accounting gold holdings can be accounted as if there were US$. Nice.
I'm sure Jan1/13 is backed into the price already, which may explain gold's relative strenght of late. But as we come closer to Jan1/13 the heat will turn up...
Should be an interesting year, 2013....