Seems there are a lot of Math challenged shareholders and purchasers of CVI.a. The shares traded at $1.60 on friday, they annouce a 15% share buyback at $2.45 on Sunday and the shares now trade at $2.09. Absolutely crazy.
The Math. says that if you own 1,000 shares at $1.60, you can now sell 150 of them for $2.45 for an 85 cent premium or an extra $127.50, so your entire 1,000 shares have only increased in value by $127.50 due to the buyback, which works out to 12.75 cents per share. And yet the market bid the price up by 49 cents a share, insane.
And that does not even take into account that after the buyback even though there will be less shares outstanding, the company will have $37 million less cash thus the remaining shares will not have increased in value and you could argue that giving shareholders their own money should not increase the value of the shares at all.
Basically current purchasers have been tricked, they think they will make money buying 1,000 shares at $2.09 and then selling them for $2.45, but the fact is they only get to sell 15% or 150 of those shares for sure, they rest depend on others not wanting to sell there shares and given the price premium, probably 90% of shareholders will attempt to tender there shares, so holder will be lucky is they can sell even 200 shares our of 1,000. Meantime, there money and shares are all tied up in the tender offer. Shorting here, not buying is the logical choice.