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Palliser Oil & Gas Corp. PSLRF

"Palliser Oil & Gas Corp is engaged in the exploration, development and production of petroleum including high netback heavy oil in the greater Lloydminster area of Alberta and Saskatchewan."


GREY:PSLRF - Post by User

Comment by Saytekon Jan 16, 2013 5:00pm
238 Views
Post# 20847220

RE: 4th quarter results should suck

RE: 4th quarter results should suck

Quote from last PR :

"The Company forecasts net debt to total approximately $38.0 million at December 31, 2012, and fourth quarter debt to annualized funds flow from operating activities is forecast to be in the range of 1.6 to 1.8 times."

 

My interpretation of the data is the following :

Q4 funds flow from operations (best case) : 38M/1.6 = 23.75M => 23.75/4 = 5,94M$ = 0.1$ / share

Q4 funds flow from operations (worst case) : 38M/1.8 = 21.11M => 21.11/4 = 5.28M$ = 0.09$ / share

 

Assuming my maths are right, Q4 results should be great !  Don't forget Palliser has hedged quite a substantial amount of their Q4 and Q1-2013 production :

 

From Q3 results PR : "To reduce cash flow risk from commodity price volatility, we have hedged approximately 50% of budgeted production volumes for the fourth quarter of 2012, and comparable volumes have also been hedged for the first half of 2013. These hedged volumes are at prices in the range of $15-$20/bbl higher than current market prices, which provides the Company with greater cash flow support to offset potentially weaker commodity prices."

 

This is my interpretation of the data and my opinion.  Always do your own due diligence before investing.  Good luck to all !

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