RE: RE: Feast on the Fear The SP is declining because of fear, not due to fundamental metrics. What we have here is the following situation: fear of short-term losses is driving the share price down. Most of the stock flipping is being done by shorters, who are making a killing. One the SP hit 2.00, we reached the exit call for the fund managers, who had to dump their stock, driving the SP down further. Everyone on this board knew this, and as a result many tried to get out before the funds dumped, which caused a massive firesale which was totally unreasonable for anyone going long.
-SP of 1.70 is an amazing deal for anyone seeking value and yield. RPL is good to go as far as divs go, so you're going to get 13% to wait around for a year.
-The debt everyone's complaining about (I hate debt, so I'm not thrilled about it either), was the result of an acquisition, not fiscal mismanagement: the acquisition nearly doubled output and greatly increased reserves. We should see some fantastic growth in terms of boe/d this year, and as a result increased cash flow.
-RPL's tax pools are going to cover earnings for the year, so increased cash flow can go right into reducing the debt burden.
-RPL is undervalued to begin with (look at the NAV, the book value/share) but due to the fund/fear driven firesale this week, we should be quite close the the nadir, as we can all agree that the current stock price isn't a result of valuation, but of speculation and an arbitrary stop-loss.
My point, getting in at this price has a much greater potential upside than downside. The market is a gamble, and RPL seems to have favourable odds at this price. Do you DD make the call, but don't listen to the fear-mongering of every jollyman and happyguy whom is posting complete nonsense here.
-For example, I can't tell you how many times nightowl or clubhouse has produced that graph of the last year of RPL's SP and said "the chart is your friend". You could just as easily have made a mirror image of said graph 2 years ago and said "the chart is your friend so buy RPL". You would have been burned, because the pattern changed from bull to bear. Anyone listening to you at that point would have been crushed, and I believe the same is true now, that anyone listening to you now is going to miss out on a great buy. Your arguments are truly flawed: here's how things work:
-When there is plenty, stay full; when there is famine, stay hungry. What we generally get is the opposite logic in the short-term: those near the top get greedy, and like Icarus, they fly too close to the sun and get burned. Those near the bottom are enwreathed in fear and fail to take what's theirs. Sure we may be down here for a while, but don't sit here and tell me that this is the end of days. What we have here is an opportunity to strengthen our position for the next bull run, we will likely have to wait, so take the div and be content for now. Rarely does one make a fortune in a day (or by day-trading), so think long term. Does this stock offer value? Yes. Does this stock have a dividend? Yes. Does the SP upside appreciation potential outweigh the SP downside diminuation? Yes.
tl;dr? This stock should be a good long-term bet. nightowl/clubhouse are misinterpreting data (according to my own appraisal, that is).