Dundee
"Recommendation and Valuation
We consider Africa Oil a Top Pick in our coverage space with a BUY
recommendation and a C$14.50 share target price, the latter in-line with our
'base case' risked NAV of C$14.51/share ¿ which equates to 530 mmbbls of net
WI recoverable oil, or a 5.6% chance of success across the company's entire
unrisked resource base (excluding Somalia).
Our 'floor' valuation - based solely on the South Lokichar basin (Blocks
10BB/13T) stands at C$8.42/share, with recent success at Etuko-1 'pushing' the
discovered resources within the basin well beyond the commercial threshold. "
Best Regards