OTCPK:TLSMF - Post by User
Post by
Oregonduckon Oct 21, 2013 9:12am
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Post# 21832650
Tail Wagging The Dog
Tail Wagging The DogThe options tail may be wagging this dog. TLM chart looks very bullish. The 20-day moving average had crossed over the 200-day and 50-day is on the cusp of making a triple crossover.
TLM could be worth around $22-28 per share on the sum of its parts. TLM has far-flung assets.I believe its Malaysian & S.E. Asian Nat. Gas assets are its crown jewels. Nat Gas sells for a lot more in Asia.The Chinese oil companies and the Asian wealth funds have $ billions for takeover deals.
- Icahn bought US$277 million worth of $8.00 call options which if exercised would control 61.5 million of TLM shares or about 6% of its outstanding shares.
- Icahn's cost base will be around US$12.00/share counting the est. $4.00 time premium paid plus $8.00 to exercise.
- Someone reportedly sold a block of 10,000 "naked" Nov.puts @ $12.50 strike on the Montreal Exchange for $0.48 per contract. That person expects the stock will expire worthless on Nov.16, 2013, therein pocketing $480,000 in premiums (one contract=100 shares). A huge Binary bet.
- On Friday, there were over 5,600 call contracts bought for $0.45 on the $13.00 Jan.18, 2014 strike in the US options market. Those buyers expect the stock will be over US$13.45 by January.
- TLM will announce Q3 earnings on Nov. 6, 2013. Based on the recent action in options, TLM may pop.