GREY:COLUF - Post by User
Comment by
naeden99on Jan 19, 2014 2:53pm
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Post# 22109109
RE:for those of you playing along at home (please read)
RE:for those of you playing along at home (please read)Your math is wrong. They are effectively issuing ~10 bn new shares. If you want to use the $75 mm number, then the valuation is $75 mm / (10 bn * .388) = $0.01875.
But the real valuation is based on the price the new money went in at (the DIP). Which implies the new co is worth $50 mm. So 38.8% of that is $19.4 mm, which is the value of shares that Sandstorm is getting ($19.4 mm / (10 bn *.388) = $0.005/sh).
They are also getting a 2% NSR though. In fact, you can calculate how much they value the NSR by comparing how much the notes got haircut vs sandstorm.
The notes were worth C$86.25 mm and were haircut to C$25.75 mm or 30% of their original value.
Sandstorm was haircut from US$75 mm = ~C$80 mm to C$19.4 mm or 24% of their original value. If they took the same haircut as the notes, they would have got ~C$24 mm. So the NSR is worth approximately $5 mm. In fact, its probably higher than this because the first US$10 mm of the Sandstorm stream was secured.
They must think there is some chance of getting this to production...