AssumptionsNo problem budmelmon, we know NTG is already working on 2 contracts for 2014. We know that Zaghloul was in SA to renew one of the 3-4M contracts from last year, and we know that they are working on signing 2 minor contracts in addition. We are only approaching February... Even if the old contract isn't renewed, the stock is trading comfortably at 10-11x 2014 earnings leaving plenty of time for management to sign more in 2014, just like they did last year. The company has virtually no debt and only 36 million S/O, tightly held by insiders, with recurring revenue in steadily diversifying markets. As long as NTG keeps costs inline and margins steady it's a fairly likely scenario that we'll see prices well beyond the 52 week high this year. The only sellers on low volume have been emotional retail dummies while funds slowly soak it all up.
If you have a problem with risk then stick to GIC's and GTFO here. Risk is always present and can never be discounted otherwise everyone would be self made millionaires. Or you can play trivial games with multiple ID's ala jons/pickled!ck and leech off of SH users pretending he's done DD to compensate for his gross intellectual shortcomings. Typical of most bashers - Can't spell, can't read, can't do math, jealous, it's pathetic but we need these sheep in the markets en mass because they are so easily fooled and intimidated by the market action itself. Along with most retail investors, they ride purely on emotion and always lose over time. These boards are purely emotional amusement and none of this matters. All of the facts are available outside SH if the will is there. The market is the real equalizer and we need these fresh dummies to prey on else it'd be too much of a zero-sum game.
Cheers