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Nevada Copper Corp NEVDQ

Nevada Copper Corp is a Canada-based mining company. The Company is engaged in the development, operation, and exploration of its copper project (the Project) at its Pumpkin Hollow Property (the Property) in Western Nevada, United States of America. Its two fully permitted projects include the high-grade Underground Mine and processing facility, which is undergoing a restart of operations, and a large-scale open pit PFS stage project. The Property is located in northwestern Nevada and consists of approximately 24,300 acres of contiguous mineral rights including approximately 10,800 acres of owned private land and leased patented claims. Pumpkin Hollow is located approximately 8 miles southeast of the small town of Yerington, Nevada in Lyon County, one- and one-half hours drive southeast of Reno. The Company’s wholly owned subsidiary is Nevada Copper, Inc.


GREY:NEVDQ - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Comment by thomsonion Mar 01, 2014 4:03pm
253 Views
Post# 22268568

RE:The Augusta non factor

RE:The Augusta non factorHi materialsgal The other way to look at NCU value is to look at the Net Present Value..the intrinsic value of the business. I chose the 8% discount factor numbers and the lower $2.75 copper case. (probably what the buyer would look at) The underground mine NPV disc 8% is $201,000,000 The Open pit mine NPV disc 8% is 726,000,000 for a total of $927,000,000 I would use the fully diluted share number of 87.9my shares (includes the options) This results in an NPV of $10.54 per share. This means the buyer could pay $10.54/SHR and get an 8% return on his money....probably not enough to justify this bid level. Lets say the buyer pays 75% of NPV This gives you a takeout price of .75*10.54=$7.90 If they pay 50%NPV, you still get at takeout price of about 5 bucks a share.... Note this will not include the inferred resources. (upside/bluesky potential), nor will it include the value of NCU's Mercator stake...again more upside/bluesky potential) Pala's average cost is 2.95 (I figured this out from their sedi filings, and assumed $3 bucks a share for their initial ~5my shares (for which a price wasn't available) I think Pala could put us "in play" with an opening offer of say $4.50 (after permits are received), with their real plan to be taken out by some other bidder in the $5-6-7 range. Machievellian of me aye? Anyway--that's what I figure NCU will go for--$5-7 bucks...no more. This won't play out until the land bill passes and permitting is in place with the timing being controlled by Pala and our management.
Bullboard Posts