TSX:CUS.DB.D - Post by User
Comment by
Khersonon Apr 30, 2014 7:29am
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Post# 22505933
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:CFO for Canexus
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:CFO for Canexusocean112 wrote: I guess i'm not seeing your analysis Kherson - you are making a claim that seems to contract the hard analysis provided by this article.....I guess the point you are making is the board will look at dividend policy based on ONE SINGLE quarter's EBITDA - when they have clearly said (per the article) they will look at expectation of FUTURE EBITDA, FUTURE debt, FUTURE capex, etc....which seems more reasonable.
....but looking back at your posts - you seemed very vocal that a dividend cut would happen last quarter - and it didn't ...so you can understand why most write you off.....
....the sad part - I give it 80% they will cut the dividend if only to get this fear overhang removed from the equation as the author claims - but no doubt you will take credit claiming "I told you so"....so will give this to you.
The real question and right now the only question that will affect the next dividend is how long can Canexus continue to carry an all in payout ratio of over 200%? If you believe that Canexus can and is willing to continue to finance a payout ratio above 200%, then yes the dividend is safe. I don't believe that, so hence my dividend cut/elimination theory...
Kherson