TSX:IBG.DB.E - Post by User
Comment by
patenrighton May 28, 2014 12:03pm
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Post# 22605615
RE:Valuation and Thoughts
RE:Valuation and Thoughtswell said reality. this credit guy is a hoot as well as all the othe usual bondholders who are still unbelievably whining with this latest very generous offer - just disgusting the greed and ignorance here . and penny still wants his 100 lol
i had a good chuckle at his the 21.6 (19 bonus + interest) PV is 12 LOL. nice 25% discount rate there bud lmao
you dont use the current YTM for a discount rate, you use a average rate of return one could get in the market - around 6-9%. yes current YTM is 25% but that is what IBG investors expect as a return due to the high risk, but if one were to receive the $12(PV) you say in cash now, and then they invest it in a vehicle with average market risk, they will not get $ 21.6, not even close. PV is more like around 18 using a discount rate of 6-9%
also his statement that the $5 conversion has no value is a joke. these guys could generate $1 eps come 2015-2016 with some top line growth ( remember company has high operating leverage and small increase in sales really increases the bottom line a lot) and so stock would be $10 with $1 eps and yet he says $5 conversion has no value. LMAO
he doesnt even know how to calculate free cashflow. it is CFO less capx (maintenance only). IBG had $1.9M in CFO in Q1 but he subtracted the $3.9M outlay for property and equipment WHICH IS NOT MAINTENANCE CAPX - nice try there bud lol
so free cashflow was indeed $1.9M
also, he says need $19M to bring bank line down to 70M, while yes techincally true, he fails to mention they have $6m in cash as at march 31, 2014 so in fact they only need to bring it down by $13M
and if that were not already enough, he says it would take just 11% of outstanding shares (or approx 2.2M) to pay off the 2014 bonds - uh more like 100% of the shares there bud at $2 price. 45M /$2 = 22M shares - and why this is not going happen.
thankfully we have some informed posters here like myself, calgary and reality and a few others