GREY:SGLRF - Post by User
Comment by
shambano1on Jul 09, 2014 8:48am
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Post# 22727862
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:The REAL Issues
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:The REAL Issuesthings may not be as dire as they appear.
firstly, the Noel was very successful and I'm pretty sure they are looking at selling or JV-ing this property, so they will get cash up front. They ahve 85-90 low risk drilling locations, so they can sell outright or justm sell an interest for a cash injection. This play has 8-9 years of development in it alone.
second- the glauc well is restricted and still producing 300 boe/d. what can it proiduce at full throttle? and they are drilling 1 or 2 follow up locations in h2-14. They development options here as well.
as to the dividend, well q2 is a low capex quarter due to break-up, but they had operational issues with dixonville, so I'm not sure how that will work out with cash in and cash -out but even if they have to go over 100% payout in q2, if they know h2-15 is going to work out well with recent success they might leave the dividend alone.
or we might get a small cut.
the bottom-line is that they have lots of good quality oil and gas assets and the market is ripe for deal making, so I expect more deals from SGL in 2014 which will help lower debt.
why is the SP going up these past few days when all other O&G stocks are falling??
makes no sense unless the shorts are getting wind of a deal and starting to cover, because a good deal will send the SP much higher??
I'm long and biased but I think there are things going on behind the scenes and once they come out we will be in a good position.
don't forget NAV is 4.50 or so and SP is 1.75.
DYODD