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SILVER WHEATON CORP. T.SLW

"Silver Wheaton is a pure, unhedged paper proxy on silver prices with a unique business model. The company purchases silver for sale through long-term purchase contracts from counterparties. Currently, the company has long-term silver purchase contracts with more than a dozen mines. Silver Wheaton purchased and sold roughly 28 million silver-equivalent ounces in 2012 through its purchase sales contracts."


TSX:SLW - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by goldguy007on Aug 14, 2014 8:35am
564 Views
Post# 22840487

SLW Earnings Decline On Lower Production, Silver Prices

SLW Earnings Decline On Lower Production, Silver Prices
Gold & precious metals, macro, research analyst, deep value
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( followers)

Summary

  • Silver Wheaton reported earnings of $63.5 million on revenues $148.6 million.
  • Silver equivalent production fell by 4% to 8.4 million ounces.
  • This reflects weakness that I didn't anticipate in January, although a short-term setback in growth shouldn't perturb long term investors.
  • The stock will likely pull back, especially since it has been rising while silver has been weak, but the stock is worth buying on a pullback.

Silver Wheaton (NYSE:SLW) just announced its second quarter earnings figures, and admittedly they were somewhat disappointing. The company reported revenues of $148.6 million, earnings of $63.5 million ($0.18/share) and cash-flow of $102.5 million ($0.29/share). These figures were down from the second quarter last year as the price of silver was weaker and silver equivalent production fell by approximately 4% to 8.4 million ounces. The company also reported a $0.06/share dividend.

Silver Wheaton's figures show a lack of growth, and this reflects the fact that the company hasn't been making new streaming deals. While it bought a small royalty recently on Chesapeake Gold's (OTCPK:CHPGF) Metates Project - a topic I discuss here - this royalty will not generate any cash-flow for many years and even then it will be relatively small compared to the size of the company.

But while the company hasn't been buying streams recently it does have some growth as its gold stream on Vale's (NYSE:VALE) Solobo Project should show growth as that company expands the project. Furthermore Primero Mining (NYSE:PPP) has been expanding production on its San Dimas Project on which Silver Wheaton owns a silver stream. It also has some other projects coming online over the next few years, continuing a history of growth which is illustrated on the following chart.

(click to enlarge)

(Source: Silver Wheaton's July Presentation)

With this in mind, and given the recent weakness we have seen in the silver market I would be hesitant to buy Silver Wheaton as it trades above $27/share, especially since I recommended it just 6 1/2 months ago at $21.40/share. As a streaming company it has been performing very well as investors prefer this business model to miners given its relatively fixed, low costs. But this preference means that the shares trade at a high valuation. Hopefully the lack of immediate growth we saw in this most recent quarter will scare off some investors and provide long-term investors with a chance to add to their positions before silver begins its next move higher.

Ben Kramer-Miller( followers)
Gold & precious metals, macro, research analyst, deep value
Bullboard Posts