GREY:STPJF - Post by User
Comment by
bmofoshizzon Aug 15, 2014 8:32pm
436 Views
Post# 22848422
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE: Changes
RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE: ChangesEveryone is getting very gloomy. I think there is still reason to be more optimistic than that. This is not yet an OPTI situation. Whereas OPTI was facing a forced, ugly recapitalization prior to CNOOC swooping in (read its last two quarterly reports), STP has some time and options after the Credit Suisse deal in March. As a lot of others are thinking (less so lately though), I believe there is a deal in the works. However, if the deal isn't favourable to equity holders (e.g. less than $0.5/sh), there is still enough value in STP that it could approach its debt holders to recapitalize (say at 2-3 shares/dollar), then reverse split. This would give former debt holders somewhere in the neighbourhood of 60-70% equity stake in a 4-5k boe/d producer with only $150MM debt (CS), some free cashflow for growth (with reduced debt payments) and significant potential for growth. Should a good deal not materialize, I see the recap. being a reasonable deal for all players, and at least creating a sustainable entity going forward that provides some upside to everyone.