RE:Half PaymentHehehe I really enjoy how you and (less) extremeskiing, or "lonewolf" try to spin this!
My only regret is not buying on July 29th, I put an order in off the low of the day @ $6.00 but was too cheap to change it. Ya win some, ya loose some.
But to discredit $600mm cash ($600mm CASH!) and further 3rd party guarenteed payments including interest is even silly for you, njshaw! Aren't you in the money now? Leftmike has followed your bashing closer than I lol.
Anyway, what's next? First, let's see a confirmed capex plan. I wouldn't be suprised if Hangingstone is a bit more expensive than currently thought, but I doubt any house had that on their mind. Athabasca's only business is collecting Chinese money, right? Either way I'm impressed with management/project managers that have kept construction costs reasonable.
Second, let's see some Duvernay results. Majors are busy derisking the play and even Chevron is looking for a JV. Kaybob South is hot, but until I start seeing highly reguarded management teams buying land I think this is ATH biggest risk, investing too much and too soon into the play. I think a JV would be more bullish for the share price than this confirmation of the put.
Also, let's forget about a takeout. Why would anyone borrow or dilute just to hold cash? Especially into 2016. Money's cheap folks, unless someone is interested in a highly speculative oil sands/duvernay play? This is NOT what Repsol wants. Managements due diligence could point them to spin out one of the two assets. Since July 14 2014 there has been high volume traded, so it's possible that someone may hold a significant amount of shares.
Heading forward, management will be in the spotlight, their first real test in a long time.