RE:RE:RE:RE:WORTHLESS PAPERPlease pardon me then. It is always hard to tell about sarcasm, when things are just in writing. If you are serious then my "game plan" is to do well at investing, I guess like everybody else. Other people look at lines on charts as if those could tell you the future. For me I am different. I think when you buy stocks you are actually buying companies, and each company has what you might call an "intrinsic value". Sometimes the stock prices move way off from the intrinsic value. Could be for various reasons ... hype, emotionalism, somebody's scam, over reaction to news (good or bad), etc, etc. If you get into a stock that is way over intrinsic you are likely to get burned badly, and if you find one way under, you may have a 10 bagger.
Anyways, I need to talk about GPW since were on that blog. I think the intrinsic value of the company is there, and the stock is priced well below that intrinsic value. If there were confidence that the directors have no conflicts of interest, are out to do the best for the shareholders, and will be declaring handsome dividends when they don't need funds for debt reduction or expansion, then in those circumstance these shares would be worth more like 75 cents. Or if it was a case where more than 50% of the shares were floating in the market and their could be a buyout, the the share could be worth something. And if the laws of PRP China allowed for ownership of real property as we understand it, and free outflow of dividends, that would be more reassuring too. But I personally don't see these things and I don't get much confidence from reading the annual reports filed. So I think the shares are kind of worthless for these reasons. That is only my opinoin. Others may disagree.
Recently I also looked at MBC as it was low and I figured it could recover when production ramps up. But on looking closely I found no intrinsic value at all, and concluded it was more likely to go down than up. The debt was too high and product price too low and recovery was next to impossible. I saw bankruptcy as the most likely scenario.
Then there was a lot of hype around here about GGG. When I looked at that all I could see was a sham designed to trick investors. The deeper one dug the less one found, and there claims seemed unlikely and almost ridiculous. I could see it was going up on hype, and it was a sure thing in the short run. Problem is “short run” could be a few hours, and it could fall like a rock when the bubble burst. It is sort of the “emperor has no clothes” type of stock, if you know what I mean
So I am actually looking for a company the other way around; where it’s intrinsic value is way above its share price. The only one I have found so far is BAA. It’s shares got beaten down a lot when a new plant did not operate at 100% capacity the day it opened (dah). It is worth a lot more than what it is selling for. Worst case, maybe 2 or 3 times more, and best case maybe 10 or 20 times more. But I don’t want to put all my eggs in one basket, so I am looking for more like it. Please let me know if you see anything like that. I find many stocks are priced right, a lot also overpriced, and it is very hard to find ones that are way underpriced. But I am sure they are out there.
So, since you are wise and savvy also, what is your game plan?