Purepoint Uranium Group Inc V.PTU

My guestimation on rew/risk ratio for PTU, NXE, FCU

[PositionTrade]

Based on my limited knowledge and based on current share price if buy shares now, my guestimation model -

            Rew X possibility  /  Risk      = R/R ratio (in 3-6 month)

PTU      100% X (7/3)       /  -30%     = 7.8  (if no huge finding, out at 12c)
              700% X (2/8)      /  -30%     = 5.8   (if hope for major finding)

NXE      400% X (3/7)      /   -30%     = 5.7

FCU      100% X (6/4)      /   -30%     = 5.0  (only insider can predict M&A)

All 3 have very good RR ratio, in fact they are the best among 200 companies that I screened.
 
However, since M&A are not predictable for me, although I expect DML may take action to merge it.  IF no M&A, FCU may follow UEX's route stay there for years.  In fact, from FCU chart, I guess profit-taking has started. Hence I personally prefer PTU & NXE at current prices.

JMHO

attached:  house position for FCU in last 6 trading days

House Positions for C:FCU from 20150109 to 20150116

House	Bought	$Val	Ave	Sold	$Val	Ave	Net	$Net
27 Dundee	4,683,393	5,463,228	1.167	3,823,250	4,434,960	1.16	860,143	-1,028,268
79 CIBC	2,193,152	2,503,306	1.141	1,584,371	1,734,647	1.095	608,781	-768,659
22 Fidelity	639,723	757,626	1.184	64,750	76,129	1.176	574,973	-681,497
2 RBC	2,520,900	2,926,931	1.161	2,074,205	2,432,214	1.173	446,695	-494,717
36 Latimer	324,325	384,000	1.184	30,658	35,595	1.161	293,667	-348,405
15 UBS	307,809	337,317	1.096	18,344	21,535	1.174	289,465	-315,782
73 Cormark	307,200	366,743	1.194	68,800	81,184	1.18	238,400	-285,559
4 Cantor Fitz	223,300	258,226	1.156	0			223,300	-258,226
99 Jitney	1,223,176	1,412,019	1.154	1,000,535	1,149,224	1.149	222,641	-262,795
33 Canaccord	687,955	800,590	1.164	501,235	594,207	1.185	186,720	-206,383
13 Instinet	397,128	472,159	1.189	231,916	270,158	1.165	165,212	-202,001
85 Scotia	1,219,659	1,427,030	1.17	1,062,695	1,250,789	1.177	156,964	-176,241
39 Merrill Lynch	168,320	194,247	1.154	41,936	47,409	1.131	126,384	-146,838
53 Morgan Stanley	123,600	144,147	1.166	20,700	24,837	1.20	102,900	-119,310
19 Desjardins	150,400	178,963	1.19	56,450	66,093	1.171	93,950	-112,870
124 Questrade	156,559	181,507	1.159	95,637	110,046	1.151	60,922	-71,461
18 Euro Pac	30,000	35,200	1.173	0			30,000	-35,200
143 Pershing	203,141	236,899	1.166	179,847	208,080	1.157	23,294	-28,819
3 AltaCorp	30,000	35,500	1.183	15,000	17,250	1.15	15,000	-18,250
57 Interactive	31,199	35,815	1.148	16,342	19,120	1.17	14,857	-16,695
123 Citigroup	11,900	14,086	1.184	0			11,900	-14,086
101 SG Capital	55,800	59,699	1.07	44,700	49,725	1.112	11,100	-9,974
83 Mackie	10,000	11,800	1.18	0			10,000	-11,800
70 Manulife	10,000	11,500	1.15	0			10,000	-11,500
59 PI	14,413	17,303	1.201	4,500	5,140	1.142	9,913	-12,163
58 Qtrade	18,010	20,771	1.153	10,202	12,438	1.219	7,808	-8,333
54 Global	5,000	4,750	0.95	0			5,000	-4,750
72 Credit Suisse	320	386	1.206	48	50	1.042	272	-336
88 Credential	42,149	50,157	1.19	42,980	50,895	1.184	-831	738
28 BBS	16,862	19,918	1.181	18,050	19,857	1.10	-1,188	-61
44 Jones Gable	10,000	11,300	1.13	35,000	40,700	1.163	-25,000	29,400
7 TD Sec	2,978,866	3,454,935	1.16	3,004,208	3,495,923	1.164	-25,342	40,988
68 Leede	0			26,000	30,680	1.18	-26,000	30,680
74 GMP	24,400	24,742	1.014	53,800	62,592	1.163	-29,400	37,850
65 Goldman	1,600	1,951	1.219	34,766	39,988	1.15	-33,166	38,037
76 Industrial Alliance	4,600	5,704	1.24	44,800	52,533	1.173	-40,200	46,829
95 Wolverton	44,900	48,082	1.071	95,268	108,895	1.143	-50,368	60,813
14 ITG	23,650	27,815	1.176	78,800	80,124	1.017	-55,150	52,309
69 Jordan	218,400	249,644	1.143	289,700	329,658	1.138	-71,300	80,014
9 BMO Nesbitt	584,277	655,264	1.121	657,906	772,675	1.174	-73,629	117,411
80 National Bank	230,600	263,248	1.142	311,100	362,107	1.164	-80,500	98,859
25 Odlum	14,000	14,420	1.03	101,100	118,051	1.168	-87,100	103,631
89 Raymond James	600,300	728,161	1.213	752,687	911,942	1.212	-152,387	183,781
11 Macquarie	100,000	120,000	1.20	362,600	438,276	1.209	-262,600	318,276
62 Haywood	107,400	125,078	1.165	485,600	573,183	1.18	-378,200	448,105
1 Anonymous	4,093,200	4,711,568	1.151	7,501,100	8,674,826	1.156	-3,407,900	3,963,258
TOTAL	24,841,586	28,803,735	1.159	24,841,586	28,803,735	1.159	0	0