June 2015: Debt free PTA with US$35M Cash+US$11M RestrictedNow that PTA proved Schlinker and HedgieTdot aliases wrong again and the FFO was Strong and Positive in Q4 2014, the Good Samaritan HedgieTdot shows up again with New Lies and baseless assumptions.
HedgieTdot is so desperate that he was claiming that Suroriente expires in 2017, then he changed it to 2020, now he says 2023. How desperate....Suroriente is until 2024 which is 9 years from now. This is not tomorrow. And this is for ALL the properties for ALL the privately-held E&P companies operating in Colombia, including PXT, GTE, PRE etc. This is the Colombian law. Sorry again.
fyi, HedgieTdot has been on this board since September 2014, he has been posting only here, and he has been posting the MOST negative assumptions that you can even imagine. He posted that the wells cost US$15 million (although they cost US$5 million) to NEGATIVE FFO in Q4 2014. He has been completely wrong thus far but he continues being here.
HedgieTdot was one of those posters who EXTRAPOLATED the FFO of Q3 2014 of US$1 million again and again, claiming that FFO in Q4 2014 was negative. The facts proved him wrong once again and he has glossed it over.
This is a summary of the things to come only for the forward thinkers, the others can sell and go to buy Mouserman's indebted INA.V or other stocks.
PTA will pay the CAD notes in April (US$28 million), as they announced and it will be debt free. Since they have US$55 million in cash now and an additional US$11 million in restricted cash, they will keep US$27 million in cash after paying the notes on 19th April (and US$11 million in restricted cash of course).
With Brent at US$63 (average) for Q2 2015 and including the cost savings initiatives of 2015 (i.e. Ecuador route), they have Positive FFO about US$20/bbl, which translates into: $20 x 4,200 bopd X 90 days = US$7.5 million Positive FFO.
Given that they will not drill in Q2 2015 (Langur-2 will be drilled in Q3 and Parex will pay for Garza Roja-1 now Tautaco-1 in Q2), all this FFO will add to the company's CASH that will be about US$35 million at the end of Q2 2015 in June 2015.
Add also the crude oil inventory of 44,000 Bbls whose value will be more than US$2.5 million in June 2015 and can also be converted into cash to increase further the company's cash tank.
So once Q3 2015 starts, Brent will be at least US$65/bbl and PTA will be Debt Free with US$35 million in CASH, and US$11 million in Restricted Cash.
And the drilling activity in PUTUMAYO will resume in Q3, according to PTA, given that Brent will be much higher than US$55/bbl. This activity includes the development wells in Cohembi, Quinde etc. And, Langur-2 will also be drilled in Q3, which is a low risk well according to PTA.
Needless to mention that PTA will have both Positive FFO and CASH to fund this development program in H2 2015, as always.
Keep in mind, PTA made almost US$17 million Positive FFO in Q4 2014 with Brent at US$70 and production 5,900 boepd disappointing Schlinker and HedgieTdot who extrapolated the US$1 million FFO of Q3 2014 and now they have glossed it over.