IAE - sp valuationBefore the Feb 25
th announcement of the GSA first production delay from 2015 Q3 to 2016 Q2 (9 month delay), IAE was doing OK despite the low Brent…
Date | Brent | SP |
12/31/2014 | 55.27 | 1.19 |
01/30/2015 | 47.52 | 1.21 |
02/17/2015 | 60.78 | 1.42 |
02/24/2015 | 60.33 | 1.32 |
Feb 2015 = 5 months before scheduled GSA 1st production (assuming Aug 2015) After the announcement, with the loss of confidence in management, the brutal drop…
Date | Brent | SP |
03/02/2015 | 60.75 | 0.79 |
03/16/2015 | 52.00 | 0.50 |
03/26/2015 | 57.02 | 0.59 |
Now despite a series of positive NR, SP is in the dog house…
The shareholder lawsuit announced in May did not help.
Date | Brent | SP |
04/29/2015 | 63.97 | 1.06 |
05/29/2015 | 63.16 | 0.96 |
06/04/2015 | 62.18 | 0.93 |
07/16/2015 | 56.92 | 0.88 |
Aug = 9 months before revised date for GSA 1st production (assuming April 2016) Gap to be filled in coming months… IF GSA stays on the revised schedule!
IMO, with Brent close to 60$, the SP should get back at least to 1.30$ within 3 months.