RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Really? Trust is Earned ... that's my Tat! Skills... what skills? Pyromania is just a disease. Being an ex-industry trained investment professional with 30+ yrs experience as Fellow, Swiss Bank Licensed, and Financial Pl, learned quickly that there is no real method of timing anything successfully. What Contra_Folk buy - or what causes our sell triggers, is often just going free willy into the fire using opposite inituition and trading blots (which is often wrong, or atleast a premature early buy signal... and therefore should not be taught :) A keen sense of patterns and powers of observation mixed with a little hypersensitivity towards market sentiments and Political Banksterism. Banksterism, is the act of making Market sentiment magic happen all using just words at meetings, numbers and a few symbols. Remember China's Meltdown last week? Early 0.25% Fed rate hike will tip exactly who back into recession? Not so scary anymore as can be observed by the lack of MSM headlines covering such topics for the next six months we suspect. Learned long ago not to watch the what the left hand is doing, and instead concentrate on what that right hand is about to do. Politics and supply/demand financial markets operate in the same arena of alternative plausability... meaning there is always the otherside to rig and then yap (thru technical & fundamental analysis) about while making Billion$ in reality through ill gotten gainz.
Really timing is suspect & at best a true contrary indication as you've noticed I usually make the markets move opposite my recommendations seemingly the very next day - if not minutes or hours (large moves if large o/w bets are placed as well); but it does seem true however that those that Kontrol... btw there are those that control,... and they do in fact follow what is broadly thought, felt, and said by little tiny Blogger types, and therefore I do for some strange reason, really think the Market is hardwired and rigged for red or green signals and almost instantly reacts to human emotional feelings of fear/greed at some level - and not at all is CFA fundamentals, or mathematics, or even time value of money, having any real effects forecasting any Market direction now, or in the past, or likely in the near future.
So my advice is to stop crunching numbers, stop reading the charts... and rather just imagine if you had the power to reverse-rig via technical analysis formations the opposite of what everyone is presently thinking as a set up and there, then you have exactly our secret formula. Now Shhhh... keep that one on the down low! ;)