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shakerman640on Aug 18, 2015 2:25pm
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Dundee Capital Markets comments on Nevada Copper Corpoation
Dundee Capital Markets comments on Nevada Copper CorpoationAccording to Dundee Capital Markets:
https://tinyurl.com/oko65x2
Nevada Copper Corp.
(NCU-T: C$1.29)
August 17, 2015
BUY, High Risk
Dundee target: C$3.00
Pumpkin Hollow Project Fully Permitted
NCU announced this morning that the appeal period for their outstanding revised reclamation permit has expired, and NCU is now fully permitted for a 70,000 tpd integrated open pit and underground mine at its Pumpkin Hollow Copper Project. This is very positive news for NCU, as permitting de-risking represents a major milestone for the Pumpkin Hollow Project. We maintain our belief that NCU is an attractive M&A target - based on HBM's recent acquisition of AZC, we believe NCU has an implied takeover valuation ranging from $2.00-$5.57/share. We have a BUY rating on NCU and a target price of $3.00/share based on 0.9x (from 0.8x) multiple to our NAV of $3.33/share (from $3.72).
Running low on cash: Working capital is currently at ($14.5M) including cash of $9.9M, down 55% from Q1. NCU did announce recently that they had extended the maturity on their Pala Bridge Loan Facility to January 31, 2016 (from July 31, 2015) and increased the principal amount from $15M to $25M. This extension provides NCU with a little extra breathing room; however their current financial position is definitely not healthy. NCU already requires a financing solution in order to build the Pumpkin Hollow project - we believe NCU may need to seek additional financing or a debt restructuring to save their balance sheet.
Pumpkin Hollow financing recap: If NCU chooses not to drawdown on the remainder of the Red Kite facility, then the company will have to raise approximately $277MM to finance the remainder of the Phase 1 CAPEX, or $1.07Bn to finance the integrated option. Conversely, if NCU chooses to drawdown on the balance of the Red Kite Facility, then only $128MM would have to be raised to fund Phase 1, or ~$897M for the integrated approach. We believe NCU would prefer not to drawdown on the balance of the Red Kite facility and could consider:
• Equity
• Debt
• Selling part of its assets
• Partner in the Pumpkin Hollow project
• M&A
NCU CAPEX & Financing Requirements
Source: DCM, Company Documents