Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

or

Sign In

Please Try Again
{{ error }}
Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?

or

Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.

RMP ENERGY INC T.RMP

"Iron Bridge Resources Inc, formerly RMP Energy Inc is a crude oil and natural gas company engaged in the exploration for, development and production of natural gas, crude oil and natural gas liquids in Western Canada."


TSX:RMP - Post by User

Comment by JackDeeValentinon Sep 26, 2015 11:21pm
137 Views
Post# 24138799

RE:Better Hold $1.00

RE:Better Hold $1.00 Look -- shares can go anywhere in the near term as sentiment is terrible for the E&P sector with most institutions looking to buy debt and very few buyers of equity right now

Many of the midcaps and small caps will go under (or get close to) due to high debt loads, higher costs, and limited access to liquidity (everyone's capX budget migrates to operating cash flow and production for those names collapse; any overleveraged name telling investors they'll keep production is flat with a fraction of historical capital is full of it) -- Penn West is a good example of a forthcoming 2016 production collapse; Sanchez Energy one that is claiming flat production with lower capital expenditures and just two examples of many more in North America

I've done analysis on over 100 public E&Ps over the past decade and although not the best, RMP is in the top 5%, a survivor and has many favorable characteristics (outside of horrible share price performance and IR).  Particularly so when compared to most peers.

So they could sell out today and shareholders would get a quick $3-$5 (not bad) or ride this out and return to $3-$7 over time as the industry goes through a painful cyclye ultimately creating a bit better  or much better commodity price environment due to forced supply cuts.  

The negative of riding it out with RMP is where the shares trade during the interim period since no institution wants to by the equity of names like this in the current environment and that could persist for 3, 6, or 9 months.  But a large majority of RMP's peers (US and Canada) face major challenges which foreshadow a natural process that will definitely cause a collapse in North American oil supply.

As a high quality survivor, RMP should probably be added to on further weakness if you have a reasonable long term horizon.  

But I've been wrong on this name so far (thought it was very cheap at $2.50) and the extreme weakness, and extreme valuation discount (relative to peers) have been very frustrating.


<< Previous
Bullboard Posts
Next >>

USER FEEDBACK SURVEY ×

Be the voice that helps shape the content on site!

At Stockhouse, we’re committed to delivering content that matters to you. Your insights are key in shaping our strategy. Take a few minutes to share your feedback and help influence what you see on our site!

The Market Online in partnership with Stockhouse