RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:RE:Caution
1) I didn't say that short positions caused the downfall in the share price, only that we'll not likely see new shorts at this level to provide downward pressure.
2) Tax loss selling? Maybe. Let's see where it is in November/mid-December and address that then.
3) Seasonal factors are only one extra item. I also run long-term probability studies and correlation studies on individual stocks, sectors and indices. I'd allocate a CXR to my long-term 'conservative' portfolio before I'd take a CPH, but then there is the technicals.
4) Technicals often lead fundamentals.
Peter Hodson (5iresearch - subscription required) has some interesting comments on the company. I'll often use his research (as well as a number of other sources) and, just as important, the Q&A section, to gauge investor perceptions of a company.