Historical inventories October..... Normally have injections through to 3rd week of October under normal circumstances.....We are no longer "under normal circumstances" IMO......Certain refineries have already completed maintenance and others will delay until early 2016....
Shoulder season may not impact inventories as previous years......Rig count is now in play IMHO....I'm still expect small injection or withdrawal which will be neutral short term but IMO the big money will push oil higher after the report unless extreme injection of 4M+.....
Smart/Big money always ahead of the curve on oil....