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Concordia Healthcare Corp. T.CXR.R



TSX:CXR.R - Post by User

Comment by foxhunter10on Oct 16, 2015 10:55am
122 Views
Post# 24197689

RE: What's happening? Can't ignore this action.

RE: What's happening? Can't ignore this action.
Stockcoach1 wrote:
 
 
Speculation yes, but you can't discount the events of late. Someone smart is beating the share price down and accumulating. Over 30M shares traded in the past month on the TSX and another 7M on Nasdaq. That's 37M shares, practically the complete float. 
Suddenly today, effective immediately, CXR adopts a change to make it more difficult to get people elected to the board. Why the sudden need? Do you smell a hostile takeover? But who? Who knows this business (AMCo) better than anyone?
Is it possible that Cinven Hedge Fund could reverse the tables on CXR. Next week, they will receive 8.49M (20% of total) shares and billions in cash from CXR. Have they been accumulating? They don't need to own a majority, 35-40% will do. Then, they only need to convince 10-15% of the spooked shareholders to get that majority. They need to convince some retail shareholders like you and me that, let's say, $55.00 USD is much better then 32.00 USD.  
They also need to split the power at the board to recommend shareholders to accept. I believe, Mark mentioned in the Conference Call that Cinven is getting two seats on the board. Now, effective immediately, Mark is scrambling to make changes and put some stops into the process. 
 
I have no indication that this is happening, however with these recent events you can't ignore the possibility that something is happening. Yes, It could be another hedge fund like Bill Ackman's or a Pharma company or nothing at all.
 
But imagine this, Cinven sells AMCo, then they get it all back, plus the rest of CXR for less, with the money and shares that CXR paid. Wow!
Brilliant!!!


I wanted to repost/requote Stockcoach's previous post. The deal finally closes next Wednesday on October 21st and everything looks perfect from the company's perspective (from the communication they have released, everything is very positive). I think the trading days leading up to mid next week (so today, monday, tuesday), if a scenario like this is true, we would still see it being pushed down (and there is no other reason that I can see why it would be still pushed down to this extent with these massive volumes). Those US hedgefunds are definitely capable of doing something like this and I wouldn't be surprised at all. Just playing the waiting game until next Wednesday now...(and of course if this is true, Wednesday will see a huge up day)

Mark Thompson in his latest press release also said "Upon closing of the AMCo transaction, we also plan to provide preliminary guidance for 2016 to provide shareholders with greater clarity on our combined business and dispel some of the misinformation currently in the market."  I think the last part alone shows some kind of frustration as he probably notices, and he can't wait to show some great guidance numbers. I wouldn't be surprised if he reads these boards also. 

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