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Mountain Province Diamonds Inc T.MPVD

Alternate Symbol(s):  MPVDF

Mountain Province Diamonds Inc. is a Canada-based diamond company. The Company’s primary asset is its 49% interest in the Gahcho Kue Mine, a Joint Venture with De Beers Canada. The Gahcho Kue Joint Venture property consists of several kimberlites that are actively being mined, developed, and explored for future development. The Company’s Kennady North Project includes approximately 113,000 hectares of claims and leases surrounding the Gahcho Kue Mine that include an indicated mineral resource for the Kelvin kimberlite and inferred mineral resources for the Faraday kimberlites. Kelvin is estimated to contain 13.62 million carats (Mct) at 8.50 million tons (Mt) at a grade of 1.60 carats/ton and a value of US$63/carat. Faraday 2 is estimated to contain 5.45Mct in 2.07Mt at a grade of 2.63 carats/ton and a value of US$140/ct. Faraday 1-3 is estimated to contain 1.90Mct to 1.87Mt at a grade of 1.04 carats/ton and a value of US$75/carat.


TSX:MPVD - Post by User

Post by norbu1on Dec 07, 2015 8:32am
238 Views
Post# 24360602

Regarding Bad News On the Horizon

Regarding Bad News On the HorizonYou forgot the final paragraph in the article you mentioned: This is unique. So definitely, you can see an upward trend in the diamond market in the next 9 to 12 months. End of quote. So then, if DeBeers is serious about controlling diamond supply. It will need to buy out MPV. The current market conditions are ideal for a takeover from the buyer side, not from the seller side. Commodity prices are depressed. So, you know, buy low, sell high. However, MPV is in a special situation with a proven resource and de-risked political environment. All that is needed is time and patience to ride out the current business cycle. DeBeers and MPV know this, so any buyout will still command a premium. Another scenario possibility is an all stock offer to buy out MPV from Anglo, parent of DeBeers and this leaves DeBeers as the operator. My guess for the most likely scenario is that DeBeers/Anglo makes MPV an offer at a good premium within the next 12 months, or it isn't going to happen once MPV starts spitting out diamonds, it then becomes too expensive to buy out. Best guess for buy out? Well, with anywhere from 2.5 to 5.0 billion $ worth of diamonds in the ground (my own guess work) we can take the average (middle guess in a mini-max situation) of 7.5/2 = 3.75 $ billion in the ground. We've got 150 million shares outstanding with a large number controlled by a few individuals, so they are the key. But, the shares seem to be valued at 3.75 $ billion/150 million shares o/s = $20.50/share. However, DeBeers/Anglo would never pay maximum value and would make a lowball offer of 10/share to get us started. Meet somewhere in the middle and we would get 15.00 /share. Not bad, but something tells me there are more diamonds in the ground for MPV. Look at the other producing Canadian diamond mines that have extended their mine life with new discoveries. With KDI next door finding lots of diamonds, it is conceivable that MPV has double the resource. So, you can kiss my rear end if you want my shares for less than 20.00/share. However, the TIGS are calling the shots on this one, whether we like it or not - we being small shareholders. GTLA
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