RE:Goldman $20 Oil PredictionIt makes a great headline: Goldman Sachs, whose superspike $105 oil forecast of a decade ago proved prescient, is now suggesting oil could hit $20. An interesting side note: the earlier prediction caused many to accuse the firm of marketing its commodity index fund with its bullish forecast, but obviously such is not the case here. As is so often true, the reality is much more mundane. Goldman lowered its forecast for 2016 WTI to $45 from $57 while allowing the possibility of $20 oil, content much less alarming than what most people heard. Naturally, that lower number is what made headlines: business as usual isnt news, major change is. Most forecasters have learned that the most extreme scenario you describe is the one that gets the newsand that some will think is your actual prediction. https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaellynch/2015/09/14/goldman-sachs-sees-20-oil-really/