RE:didnt everyone think oil bottomed at 40-44$you're right, but the big difference now versus when we were at 40-44, is that there is much greater clarity on US production peaking and now declining. IMHO the only barrier to a major rebound this year is a significant global slowdown or crisis. That is always possible but I think unlikely. I think we will be at $45 by end of Q2, $60 by year end.