RE:This is an ALL CASH DEAL at C$2.20/share.LucasKnight wrote: To everyone,
it seems that there are a few groups out there trying to blur the lines of this bought out deal and in doing so [as i am certain of it] purchasing shares to play an obvious opportunity. Regardless of whatever they indicate here, these are the convenants of the deal below;
1. Cash price of C$2.20 per Bankers Share
2. Carries full support of the board and received UNANIMOUS approval
3. No change in corporate offices and WILL REMAIN based in Calgary, Canada
4. Purchaser is one of the largest exploration/production companies LISTED on Shanghai Stock exchange [SH:600759] with market cap over $3.6 Billion.
5. Purchaser has already made significant oil and gas investments worldwide
6. Purchaser plans to realise the joint vision of both companies to grow the business with enhanced investment into the Albanian operations
7. The agreement ALLOWS FOR A COUNTER OFFER
8. The agreement ALLOWS A RIGHT IN FAVOR OF THE PURCHASER TO MATCH ANY SUPERIOR PROPOSAL
9. If Banker's Petroelum takes another offer with respect to a superior proposal, they will have to pay $20 million to purchaser
10. Agreement is subject to customary closing conditions
==============================================
My opinion:
This is an offer of C$2.20 a Bankers Petroleum share if there are no superior offers on the table prior to the day of voting. The management has already approved and have entered into voting support agreement with the purchaser that is connected to the buyout.
Since their operations and management team remains in Calgary AND their operations are in Albania, i do not think there will any issues in relations to the closing conditions. The purchaser is a LISTED PUBLIC ENTITY in China and has already made numerous purchases in the last 3 years to increase its oil production and development capabilities in line with the People's Republic of China's objectives.
The current share price is attriutable to the 1. lack of investor's knowledge in reading the agreement, 2. statement in regards to the debt convenants, 3. savvy investors playing on the emotions of current shareholders, 4. big funds coming in on the quiet and purchasing the shares on open market to reap an easy 25% - 30%++ profit.
Bankers Petroleum have PREMIUM PRODUCING ASSETS in Albania and currently constitute more than 85% of ALL ALBANIAN OIL operations. They have reserves of over a BILLION BARRELS OF OIL with netbacks that scale upwards with the Brent prices. At the well head, they are making approx $10/barrel at the current oil price and as such are already profitable in the current climate. They had stopped their production lines in 2016, probably in the knowledge of a takeover deal and/or to protect their reserve base.
Shell [having a 75% stake] has already bought out Petromanas Energy's 25% stake in Albania and will probably be the only other suitor to have a superior proposal. They would understand the value of Banker's Petroleum assets and the current discount of the proposed buyout. I would not discount a superior offer - indeed the purchaser is also expecting that since it is written into the agreement.
This is a deal for C$2.20/share [without any superior proposal].
That's it.
+1 very well explained.