RE:CS100 & CS300 new age aircraft.Great post and to the point.
Your share price target at the 2018 time frame is however a little too bullish and I say this with all due respect. The various levels of government will need to be out first.
Once the government has been paid back, I and that remaining debt debt level can tangibly be addressed with solid earnings potential (say $1+ per share annual), the $25 target price may well not be out of reach (I'd say 5-7 years).
I beleive the shares have now made their lows. With the upcoming deliveries at Swiss and Air Baltic this year, the airplane will have the opportunity to demonstrate their worthiness and make its proof once and for all. Options will turn into orders and the rest will be history!
Given your industry background you are familiar with Air Canada trading at 80 cents in 2011 and only to bounce back to $15 in 2014-15. Good luck!