OTCPK:CRZNF - Post by User
Post by
oldmanmikeon Apr 04, 2016 10:33am
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Post# 24727421
Sorry folks I'm out
Sorry folks I'm outSpent Sunday doing a cash flow analysis of this project:
My humble results:
1) Peak cash -$275M to $300M
2) Cashflow breakeven - yr.6 or 7 using PFS cost base $230/ton ore mined
3) Aver Rev. $205M/yr at current commodity prices and 1.3 F.E.
4) Profit after tax $65M/yr
5) discount cashflow (8%) w/o capital cost $480M, with capital cost $240M
6) Assumed 50% discount to buyer - $120M/220M shares = $0.55/share
Normal PFS +50%To -30% on cost base
Cross referenced other mining operations (2) Average cost $530/ton
7) Oper costs from PFS $105M/yr could be x 530/230= $240M/yr
8) Rev-Cost= ($35M/ yr)
Conclusion:
The mine is not economically feasible. Stated PFS revenue overly optimistic and costs are understated. CZN share value must be based on other holdings. $0.01/share (my guess)
GLTA